House price growth could grind to halt in 2008
June 22, 2008
According to officials from the Nationwide Building Society 2008 could see house price growth grind to a halt in the UK. The building society states that there is to be a ’significant slowdown’ in house price growth over the coming year, adding that the current annual house price inflation level of 9.7% could plummet to 0% by the third quarter of 2008. Officials from the building society state that this forthcoming slump is down to a number of contributory factors.
Amongst the factors that will contribute to this stagnation in house price growth, according to Nationwide officials, are tighter lending regulations from increasingly cautious lenders, lack of affordability particularly amongst first time buyers, a decreasing demand for buy to let, and a general slump in the economy as a whole. One Nationwide expert stated: “A slowing economy, tighter credit conditions, stretched affordability for first-time buyers and lower house price expectations appear likely to reduce the level of activity. As we move into 2008, economic tailwinds are increasingly being replaced by headwinds.”
Demand for buy to let has also been on the decrease, and the Nationwide official also added: “Poor yields, lower house-price expectations and tighter credit conditions are all likely to take some froth out of buy-to-let and limit its contribution to price growth.” Nationwide experts also stated that although interest rates are expected to fall a number of times in the coming year this is unlikely to make any significant difference to the house price growth levels that have been predicted, although it may help to ease the impact a little.
Officials have stated that house price growth will, however, vary based on region next year, and that Scotland is expected to fare best. Northern Ireland, however, is expected to see a significant drop in house price growth after several years of continuous growth year on year.
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